All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Indiana All Catholic Championship |
Flashrock Invitational |
Circle City Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
333 | |
356 |
569 |
357 |
492 |
302 |
301 |
714 |
367 |
327 |
400 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
356 |
319 |
357 |
346 |
302 |
301 |
333 |
342 |
327 |
400 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Indiana All Catholic Championship |
Flashrock Invitational |
Circle City Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 90 |
Bailey Freese |
12 |
19:40 |
19:38 |
19:41 |
19:19 |
19:43 |
|
19:22 |
19:30 |
|
19:40 |
19:49 |
19:55 |
| 161 |
Claire Milam |
12 |
20:06 |
20:49 |
20:32 |
|
20:22 |
|
20:03 |
19:47 |
|
20:58 |
19:56 |
20:51 |
| 167 |
Claire Flannagan |
9 |
20:09 |
|
20:26 |
|
20:39 |
21:16 |
20:30 |
20:22 |
|
20:07 |
20:03 |
20:01 |
| 183 |
Katherine Kolb |
10 |
20:15 |
20:04 |
20:19 |
|
20:22 |
20:01 |
20:03 |
19:46 |
|
|
20:20 |
20:48 |
| 234 |
Keira Hines |
10 |
20:33 |
20:36 |
20:59 |
|
20:30 |
20:24 |
20:31 |
20:32 |
|
20:16 |
20:30 |
20:41 |
| 253 |
Camille Morrow |
11 |
20:38 |
20:58 |
20:22 |
|
20:27 |
|
20:08 |
20:48 |
|
20:37 |
20:31 |
21:20 |
| 285 |
Brinna Wolf |
9 |
20:46 |
|
20:54 |
|
20:41 |
20:45 |
20:23 |
20:33 |
|
20:45 |
21:29 |
20:41 |
| 396 |
Grace Boivin |
12 |
21:12 |
20:57 |
20:55 |
|
20:40 |
|
21:27 |
21:34 |
21:06 |
21:09 |
|
|
| 469 |
Kara Van Woerkom |
9 |
21:28 |
|
21:42 |
21:12 |
21:09 |
21:25 |
21:35 |
21:36 |
21:22 |
|
|
|
| 577 |
Isabella Galvin |
10 |
21:44 |
21:25 |
22:02 |
21:16 |
21:27 |
23:21 |
22:13 |
21:53 |
21:21 |
|
|
|
| 604 |
Eva Parr |
11 |
21:47 |
21:14 |
21:53 |
22:16 |
20:49 |
21:22 |
23:02 |
21:12 |
22:11 |
|
|
|
| 622 |
Delaney Gould |
10 |
21:51 |
|
22:20 |
21:39 |
22:07 |
21:28 |
21:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 642 |
Sophia Galvin |
11 |
21:54 |
21:38 |
22:04 |
21:41 |
21:39 |
22:02 |
22:38 |
21:39 |
21:42 |
|
|
|
| 696 |
Caroline Ford |
9 |
22:02 |
|
21:59 |
21:29 |
22:04 |
21:52 |
21:39 |
23:16 |
22:12 |
|
|
|
| 701 |
Ella Smith |
11 |
22:02 |
21:37 |
21:44 |
22:01 |
21:56 |
21:53 |
22:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,167 |
Lucy Esposito |
10 |
23:08 |
23:40 |
22:28 |
23:11 |
22:53 |
|
23:07 |
27:21 |
23:42 |
|
|
|
| 1,284 |
Annie Shedlock |
12 |
23:23 |
22:45 |
23:32 |
23:42 |
23:19 |
24:01 |
23:03 |
23:01 |
23:17 |
|
|
|
| 1,287 |
Mallory Ryan |
10 |
23:24 |
22:24 |
23:30 |
23:16 |
23:14 |
23:30 |
23:21 |
23:36 |
23:13 |
|
|
|
|
Kaitlin Gallagher |
12 |
23:38 |
|
23:48 |
23:35 |
23:48 |
23:26 |
23:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Emilie Abel |
11 |
24:13 |
|
23:50 |
25:00 |
24:16 |
24:33 |
24:33 |
23:40 |
23:50 |
|
|
|
|
Kadie Coon |
11 |
24:14 |
23:07 |
24:29 |
|
24:45 |
25:00 |
24:05 |
23:46 |
23:42 |
|
|
|
|
Elly Rodgerson |
9 |
24:37 |
|
25:28 |
25:49 |
25:18 |
23:34 |
25:39 |
23:51 |
23:17 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
16.7 |
415 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
9.2 |
9.3 |
10.1 |
10.6 |
10.3 |
11.2 |
7.1 |
5.1 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Regionals |
100% |
5.3 |
189 |
|
0.2 |
1.6 |
19.7 |
48.8 |
17.1 |
6.8 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
3.8 |
93 |
|
0.7 |
24.3 |
72.2 |
2.6 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bailey Freese |
100% |
90.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
88.7% |
| Claire Milam |
100% |
145.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34.2% |
| Claire Flannagan |
100% |
150.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28.9% |
| Katherine Kolb |
100% |
160.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.8% |
| Keira Hines |
100% |
185.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.4% |
| Camille Morrow |
100% |
192.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.1% |
| Brinna Wolf |
100% |
201.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bailey Freese |
100% |
21.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
4.1 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
6.6 |
6.0 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
5.5 |
5.6 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Claire Milam |
100% |
37.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Claire Flannagan |
100% |
39.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Katherine Kolb |
100% |
43.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Keira Hines |
100% |
57.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Camille Morrow |
100% |
62.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Brinna Wolf |
100% |
69.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Bailey Freese |
10.7 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.9 |
4.1 |
6.8 |
10.7 |
15.3 |
16.1 |
11.5 |
9.7 |
7.5 |
5.6 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
| Claire Milam |
17.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
4.5 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
8.2 |
8.7 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
9.1 |
7.2 |
6.5 |
5.1 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
| Claire Flannagan |
17.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
5.8 |
8.8 |
8.9 |
9.1 |
10.3 |
8.5 |
7.8 |
6.5 |
5.5 |
5.1 |
3.8 |
2.5 |
| Katherine Kolb |
19.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
6.2 |
6.7 |
8.2 |
8.8 |
9.6 |
9.0 |
7.5 |
6.2 |
6.0 |
5.0 |
| Keira Hines |
26.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
5.9 |
7.2 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
| Camille Morrow |
28.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
| Brinna Wolf |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
|
